Crypto and stock correlation matrix
BRVX correlation matrix, October 14, 2026: over the last 30 days bitcoin's daily returns had a correlation of +0.71 with the Nasdaq-100 and +0.28 with gold. The closest pair was Bitcoin/Ethereum at +0.94; the most opposite was Nasdaq-100/WTI oil at −0.68. Numbers come from 14 BRVX price feeds and refresh daily.
- 14 markets in the matrix
- +0.71 BTC vs Nasdaq-100, 30 days
- 30 / 90 day windows of daily returns
Correlation of daily returns
Pearson correlation of close-to-close daily returns on the BRVX feed, 2026-09-15 to 2026-10-14 (30 days). +1 moves together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite.
| BTC | ETH | SOL | XRP | NVDA | AAPL | MSFT | TSLA | XYZ100 | XAUT | SILVER | WTIOIL | COPPER | EUR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BitcoinBTC | 1 | +0.94 | +0.87 | +0.89 | +0.47 | −0.09 | +0.14 | +0.31 | +0.71 | +0.28 | +0.34 | −0.36 | +0.22 | −0.20 |
| EthereumETH | +0.94 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.89 | +0.58 | −0.14 | +0.15 | +0.21 | +0.66 | +0.24 | +0.30 | −0.34 | +0.19 | −0.00 |
| SolanaSOL | +0.87 | +0.91 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.53 | −0.01 | +0.28 | +0.27 | +0.75 | +0.30 | +0.39 | −0.47 | +0.27 | −0.04 |
| XRPXRP | +0.89 | +0.89 | +0.87 | 1 | +0.41 | +0.03 | +0.29 | +0.27 | +0.71 | +0.19 | +0.26 | −0.50 | +0.10 | −0.11 |
| NVIDIANVDA | +0.47 | +0.58 | +0.53 | +0.41 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.30 | +0.62 | −0.04 | +0.15 | −0.41 | +0.28 | −0.05 |
| AppleAAPL | −0.09 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.05 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| MicrosoftMSFT | +0.14 | +0.15 | +0.28 | +0.29 | −0.01 | +0.27 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.41 | +0.25 | +0.29 | −0.20 | +0.20 | −0.05 |
| TeslaTSLA | +0.31 | +0.21 | +0.27 | +0.27 | +0.30 | +0.08 | +0.17 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.28 | +0.36 | −0.34 | +0.43 | −0.21 |
| Nasdaq-100XYZ100 | +0.71 | +0.66 | +0.75 | +0.71 | +0.62 | +0.09 | +0.41 | +0.61 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.51 | −0.68 | +0.50 | −0.23 |
| GoldXAUT | +0.28 | +0.24 | +0.30 | +0.19 | −0.04 | −0.12 | +0.25 | +0.28 | +0.34 | 1 | +0.90 | −0.10 | +0.61 | +0.18 |
| SilverSILVER | +0.34 | +0.30 | +0.39 | +0.26 | +0.15 | −0.05 | +0.29 | +0.36 | +0.51 | +0.90 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.75 | +0.11 |
| WTI oilWTIOIL | −0.36 | −0.34 | −0.47 | −0.50 | −0.41 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.34 | −0.68 | −0.10 | −0.23 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.19 |
| CopperCOPPER | +0.22 | +0.19 | +0.27 | +0.10 | +0.28 | +0.02 | +0.20 | +0.43 | +0.50 | +0.61 | +0.75 | −0.27 | 1 | +0.05 |
| EUR/USDEUR | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.21 | −0.23 | +0.18 | +0.11 | +0.19 | +0.05 | 1 |
| BTC | ETH | SOL | XRP | NVDA | AAPL | MSFT | TSLA | XYZ100 | XAUT | SILVER | WTIOIL | COPPER | EUR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BitcoinBTC | 1 | +0.88 | +0.83 | +0.89 | +0.28 | −0.05 | +0.06 | +0.44 | +0.41 | +0.51 | +0.51 | −0.17 | +0.29 | +0.09 |
| EthereumETH | +0.88 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.78 | +0.26 | +0.07 | +0.05 | +0.42 | +0.37 | +0.51 | +0.51 | −0.19 | +0.24 | +0.19 |
| SolanaSOL | +0.83 | +0.83 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.34 | +0.00 | +0.15 | +0.39 | +0.45 | +0.42 | +0.47 | −0.26 | +0.24 | +0.13 |
| XRPXRP | +0.89 | +0.78 | +0.77 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.06 | +0.09 | +0.42 | +0.34 | +0.36 | +0.41 | −0.16 | +0.25 | +0.10 |
| NVIDIANVDA | +0.28 | +0.26 | +0.34 | +0.22 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.38 | +0.71 | +0.22 | +0.35 | −0.28 | +0.29 | +0.08 |
| AppleAAPL | −0.05 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.17 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.27 | −0.06 |
| MicrosoftMSFT | +0.06 | +0.05 | +0.15 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.14 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.24 | +0.03 | +0.07 | −0.15 | +0.17 | +0.09 |
| TeslaTSLA | +0.44 | +0.42 | +0.39 | +0.42 | +0.38 | −0.07 | +0.24 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.26 | +0.34 | −0.23 | +0.40 | +0.12 |
| Nasdaq-100XYZ100 | +0.41 | +0.37 | +0.45 | +0.34 | +0.71 | −0.23 | +0.24 | +0.61 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.42 | −0.50 | +0.46 | −0.01 |
| GoldXAUT | +0.51 | +0.51 | +0.42 | +0.36 | +0.22 | −0.08 | +0.03 | +0.26 | +0.23 | 1 | +0.91 | −0.14 | +0.56 | +0.33 |
| SilverSILVER | +0.51 | +0.51 | +0.47 | +0.41 | +0.35 | −0.12 | +0.07 | +0.34 | +0.42 | +0.91 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.68 | +0.29 |
| WTI oilWTIOIL | −0.17 | −0.19 | −0.26 | −0.16 | −0.28 | −0.12 | −0.15 | −0.23 | −0.50 | −0.14 | −0.19 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.03 |
| CopperCOPPER | +0.29 | +0.24 | +0.24 | +0.25 | +0.29 | −0.27 | +0.17 | +0.40 | +0.46 | +0.56 | +0.68 | −0.30 | 1 | +0.15 |
| EUR/USDEUR | +0.09 | +0.19 | +0.13 | +0.10 | +0.08 | −0.06 | +0.09 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.33 | +0.29 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 1 |
- 0.6 and above
- 0.3 to 0.6
- −0.3 to 0.3
- −0.6 to −0.3
- −0.6 and below
Is bitcoin correlated with the Nasdaq, gold and oil?
The pairs people ask about, in both windows. A number above 0.6 means the two moved together on most days; near zero means the daily moves were unrelated.
| Pair | 30 days | 90 days | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin vs Nasdaq-100 | +0.71 | +0.41 | moved together on most days |
| Bitcoin vs Gold | +0.28 | +0.51 | little relation |
| Bitcoin vs WTI oil | −0.36 | −0.17 | loosely opposite |
| Bitcoin vs EUR/USD | −0.20 | +0.09 | little relation |
| Bitcoin vs Ethereum | +0.94 | +0.88 | moved together on most days |
| NVIDIA vs Nasdaq-100 | +0.62 | +0.71 | moved together on most days |
| Gold vs Silver | +0.90 | +0.91 | moved together on most days |
| Nasdaq-100 vs WTI oil | −0.68 | −0.50 | mostly opposite |
How to read a correlation matrix
One number per pair
Each cell is the correlation coefficient r of two markets' daily returns. The diagonal is always +1: a market compared with itself.
Returns, not prices
Two prices that both trend up look related on a chart even when their daily moves are not. The matrix compares the day-to-day changes, which is what a hedge or a second position actually faces.
Windows disagree on purpose
30 days shows the current regime, 90 days the background. When the two differ a lot, the relationship is unstable, and a pair that looked like a hedge last month may not be one now.
Correlation is not a forecast
A high r says two markets moved together in the window. It says nothing about direction, and it can break exactly on the days that matter.
Methodology
Daily candles come from the public BRVX chart feed (v1.rates.getChart, 1d, mid price) for each market's SYMBOL/USDT pair. We take close-to-close returns on the UTC calendar, drop today's unfinished candle, keep only days every market has, and compute Pearson r for each pair over the last 30 and 90 of those days. Stock, index, commodity and EUR prices on BRVX are a synthetic feed that keeps moving at night, at weekends and on US holidays, so weekend days are included for every market. Results will differ from studies that use exchange closing prices and trading days only.
Correlation FAQ
Is bitcoin correlated with the Nasdaq?
Yes, strongly. Over the last 30 days the correlation of BTC and Nasdaq-100 daily returns on BRVX was +0.71, and +0.41 over 90 days. Above 0.6 counts as strong, below 0.3 as weak.
Is bitcoin correlated with gold?
Not much. BTC and gold (XAUT) daily returns had a correlation of +0.28 over 30 days and +0.51 over 90 days on BRVX prices.
Is bitcoin correlated with oil?
Loosely, in the opposite direction. The 30-day correlation of BTC and WTI oil was −0.36; over 90 days it was −0.17.
What is a correlation matrix?
A table of correlation coefficients where every row and column is a market and each cell shows how closely two markets' returns moved together, from −1 (opposite) to +1 (together).
What is a good correlation coefficient?
It depends on the use. For diversification you want pairs near 0 or negative; 0.3 and below is usually read as weak, 0.6 and above as strong. On this page Bitcoin/Ethereum was the strongest pair at +0.94 over 30 days.
How often is the matrix updated?
Daily. The page recalculates from the BRVX price feed and shows the date range it used above each table.
Trade the pair, not the headline
Open BRVXLeveraged perpetuals are high risk: you can lose your whole margin. Correlation describes the past, it does not forecast prices. Not available in the US.